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Year: 2017

Do insiders think $DFRG sell-off is a rare opportunity?

Posted On August 7, 2017
It’s pretty rare these days to find a U.S. stock that simply no one has heard of or taken a look at. When I stumble on a stock, the first thing I do is search my email to see if I’ve emailed anyone about it and then check VIC and Sumzero to see if it’s […]

Is $RSO too discounted?

Posted On August 3, 2017
Note: I wrote this over the weekend and meant to post before earnings came out, but I got distracted by the tragedy that is AMC. RSO reported earnings last night and filed an 8-K with a bit more info on their LCC sale on Tuesday, so some of the numbers here are slightly stale, but […]

$AMC : That escalated quickly

Posted On August 2, 2017
Well, that escalated quickly. I mentioned AMC (disclosure: long, unfortunately) on the blog ~a month ago. Last night, the company provided preliminary Q2’17 and FY17 guidance that could only be described as disastrous. The stock has certainly responded today, down ~25%, and the rest of the movie theater sector is performing much better (NCMI down […]

More questions at FranklinCovey $FC

Posted On July 27, 2017
Bill Ackman coined (or perhaps stole, IDK) the “return-on-invested-brain-damage” calculation. His basic thought is to figure out what the potential return from an investment is and weigh it against the effort and complexity required to unlock that value. If it’s a super complex and difficult situation with limited return, pass. If it’s massively difficult but […]

Some Thoughts on Stock Dilution Part 1 $TPB

Posted On July 25, 2017
Note: this article started out as one article, but I decided to split it into two separate articles and link the two of them to 1) make it easier to link to specific ideas in the future, 2) break up what was becoming a long article, and 3) because #pageviews. You can find Part 2 […]

Some Thoughts on Stock Dilution Part 2 $RLJE

Posted On July 25, 2017
Note: this is part two in a series that started discussing stock dilution and Turning Point Brands (TPB); please see part 1 here. RLJ started as an SPAC by Robert L Johnson, who founded BET. The results have been a disappointment, but in the past year there were some signs that the company was turning […]

Brave deeper into the Liberty complex $BATRA

Posted On July 13, 2017
I’ve got a few other companies I wanted to write about, but given their shareholder webcast is early next week, my last post was on LVNTA (which I am very long), a tweet on them drew a nice response, and I am trying to convince Greg Maffei to let me race the Freeze at the […]

Liberty Ventures GCI merger set to unlock significant value $LVNTA $GNCMA

Posted On July 6, 2017
Liberty Ventures (LVNTA) trades at a deep discount to net asset value (NAV) NAV is certainly understated After the GCI deal goes through, LVNTA should become a share repurchase machine and will likely be acquired at a nice premium in the next few years On April 4, Liberty Ventures (AKA Ventures; ticker: LVNTA / LVNTA; […]

Charter: A levered return of capital story for the ages $CHTR

Posted On June 28, 2017
Charter is undervalued versus peers Insiders are very bullish on Charter and the company is buying shares back like crazy I don’t think the market realizes just how wild (in a good way) these share buybacks are yet Charter (CHTR; disclosure: I am net long this through different pieces of the Liberty complex) is a […]

Why the big decline, AMC? $AMC

Posted On June 23, 2017
Key investment thesis: AMC (disclosure: long) shares have recently dramatically under performed peers RGC and CNK (disclosure: short a non-life altering amount of both as a hedge), providing investors with an opportunity to invest in the company at a below peer valuation despite better growth prospects. AMC is the largest movie theater exhibitor in the […]
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