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Month: December 2020

Some things and ideas: December 2020

Posted On December 31, 2020
Some random thoughts on articles that caught my attention in the last month. Note that I try to write notes on articles immediately after reading them, so there can be a little overlap in themes if an article grabs my attention early in the month and is similar to an article that I like later […]

Deceit, parody, or something else? $BMYRT's strange twitter account

Posted On December 30, 2020
I've spent a lot of time on BMY's CVR (BMY-R or BMYRT) over the past few years. On top of endlessly disclosing that CVRs are insanely risky and nothing on this blog or anything else I do is ever investing advice (a disclosure I will reiterate here, as well as noting nothing on here is […]

Ten Predictions for 2021, Part 2: Non-SPAC Edition

Posted On December 30, 2020
This is part 2 of my predictions for 2021. Part 2 centers on my non-SPAC predictions; you can find part 1, which focused on SPACs, here. Cable One (CABO) massively underperforms its cable peers Cruise stocks have a rough 2021 Free Radical media companies finally start to consolidate All the major movie theaters file for […]

Ten Predictions for 2021, Part 1: SPAC Edition

Posted On December 29, 2020
2020, on the whole, has been miserable. I suspect 2021 will be much brighter as the vaccine rolls out and the world normalizes. So I've been thinking a lot about 2021, and I wanted to put out some predictions for the year. But I've also been a little obsessed with two things recently: the SPAC […]

Peloton: Fitbit 2.0, or Netflix 2.0? $PTON

Posted On December 28, 2020
I love exercising. I do it basically every day (well, once a week I'll generally take a White Claw inspired day off). I used to do it two times a day, and I'd still like to if I could, but as I've gotten older time demands have generally precluded two work outs a day. Still, […]

Quickie idea / Christmas Gift: Collectors Universe Bumpitrage $CLCT

Posted On December 21, 2020
This post is a special post. It doubles as both my Christmas present to you, and a continuation of my "“quickie” idea" series. Now, I know what you're thinking. "How thoughtful of Andrew to get me a Christmas present!!!! But man, this is awkward. I didn't get him anything!" And the good news is I'm […]

December premium update

Posted On December 18, 2020
Hi subs, Before we get to the updates- first, thank you so much for subscribing to the premium site! Second, a quick housekeeping. This month’s housekeeping has three parts: The premium site is still a work in progress, feedback is very much appreciated. In particular, feedback on what you’d like to see in the monthly […]

History Rhymes: $FB attacks $MTCH / $ANGI

Posted On December 16, 2020
This morning, ANGI stock fell ~5% on a news story that Facebook was plotting a rival service. If you just thought about that announcement in a vacuum, ANGI's stock going down would make sense. In fact, you might even find a drop of only 5% a little puzzling. Facebook is probably the most powerful corporation […]

Playing Moneyball with $RBAC

Posted On December 14, 2020
Over the past month, I've done three posts on SPAC / option trades: The curious case of PSTH’s options, assessing IPOC’s options, and a premium only post. Of those three, I'd say the most popular was PSTH, the most ignored was IPOC (perhaps correctly, as they set their shareholder vote for Jan. 6 literally one […]

Premium Post: One more SPAC-"option arb"

Posted On December 11, 2020
Recently I’ve posted two articles on taking advantage of SPACs with high volatility: The curious case of PSTH’s options, and assessing IPOC’s options. The basics behind these trades are simple: volatility on some of these SPACs is absolutely off the charts, and if you structure the options correctly you can take advantage of that optionality […]
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