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Year: 2020

The $TWTR hack: a lack of imagination

Posted On July 16, 2020
Twitter is probably the most interesting company in the world today. I mean that from both a strategy perspective and from an investment perspective. From a strategy perspective, I'm not sure there's ever been a company created so much value for its users and captured so little for itself (I liked the chart below from […]

Lemonade: I don't get it $LMND

Posted On July 9, 2020
Back in 2012, Facebook bought Instagram for $1B. It's truly one of the greatest acquisitions of all time: today, Instagram is probably worth >200x what Facebook paid for it; in addition, buying Instagram destroyed a potential Facebook competitor, handicapped another (Twitter), and accelerated Facebook's mobile strategy.

Premium Post: A more worthy play on Nikola's craziness

Posted On July 6, 2020
NKLA is a speculative bubble, but here's a way to play the bubble for free.

Premium Post: This stone cold steal of a deal should result in some capital gains....

Posted On July 1, 2020
In hindsight, I’m not sure we’ll ever see a weirder period for M&A than February 2020. Companies were getting bought for big numbers, only to turn out to be worthless a few months later.

Some things and ideas: June 2020

Posted On June 30, 2020
Some random thoughts on articles that caught my attention in the last month. Note that I try to write notes on articles immediately after reading them, so there can be a little overlap in themes if an article grabs my attention early in the month and is similar to an article that I like later […]

Quickie idea / what am I missing: $PCG on bankruptcy emergence

Posted On June 29, 2020
This post is another in a series I plan do on an irregular basis. A “quickie” idea is an investment specific idea that I’ve been mulling over and find interesting, but haven’t dove fully into yet. The hope with this particular idea is to provide the jumping off point for a discussion of an idea I […]

Premium case study: Kontoor Brands $KTB

Posted On June 24, 2020
I recently went on "the special situations podcast", and on it I mentioned my premium service's June idea, Kontoor Brands (KTB). I'd been weighing posting premium ideas publicly once they'd played out as part case studies / part advertisements. I don't think KTB has fully played out yet (though it has partially played out with […]

Yet another guide to media stocks, Part 6: Sports investing in a post-Covid world $MSGS $MSGN

Posted On June 23, 2020
Hi! Welcome to Part 6 of Yet Another Guide to media stocks. Today’s post will cover how I'm thinking about investing the publicly traded sports plays in the post-Covid world. Before diving in, I’d highly encourage you to check out the intro section to the guide, which goes over why I’m doing this and dives […]
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