Posted On March 31, 2021
Some random thoughts on articles that caught my attention in the last month. Note that I try to write notes on articles immediately after reading them, so there can be a little overlap in themes if an article grabs my attention early in the month and is similar to an article that I like later […]
Posted On March 25, 2021
A few weeks ago, I said the tide was turning in SPAC-land. This week, I think it's safe to say that the tide has completely gone out on SPACs. A few weeks ago, an average SPAC merger announcement would result in a 10% pop. A good SPAC merger announcement (a good deal by a good […]
Posted On March 24, 2021
Note: this stock is absolutely on the smaller side. I know this is below the investable market cap for some subscribers, but this is probably the most interesting idea / situation I’m looking at right now, so I wanted to write it up because I want the premium service to focus on my best /most […]
Posted On March 23, 2021
I've discussed CCIV a few times: in the lead up to their deal announcement, I discussed how crazy the stock price / action around the stock was. Then, when the stock crashed on the deal announcement, I wondered if that would mark the turning point to pop the SPAC bubble. But I wanted to do […]
Posted On March 16, 2021
This post is another in a series I do on an irregular basis. A “quickie” idea is an investment specific idea that I’ve been mulling over and find interesting, but haven’t dove fully into yet. The hope is to provide the jumping off point for a discussion of an idea I find extremely interesting right now, as […]
Posted On March 15, 2021
Something weird is happening in media stocks. Legacy cable channel / media stocks have seen their stocks go on an absolute tear so far this year, while streaming "winners" have been left behind. Year to date, AMC Networks, ViacomCBS, and Discovery have all more than doubled, while DIS is up slightly and NFLX is actually […]
Posted On March 12, 2021
Hi subs, Before we get to the updates- first, thank you so much for subscribing to the premium site! Second, a quick housekeeping. This month’s housekeeping has three parts: I mentioned it in my 2021 vision, but my goal for the premium site is simple: 2 posts/month (24 posts a year). One of the monthly posts […]
Posted On March 11, 2021
First, nothing on here is investing advice. GTX is emerging from bankruptcy. Please do your own diligence. I've mentioned GTX on here several times; I originally published the thesis publicly, but I did premium only updates on it in late October and mid-January. It was a good thesis, and it worked out well. I wanted […]
Posted On March 9, 2021
One of my predictions for 2021 was that cruise line stocks would perform poorly as the year went along (see #7). My thinking was pretty simple: on an EV basis, cruise lines were already trading at valuations in line with their pre-pandemic levels. They were still going to be burning hundreds of millions a month […]
Posted On March 4, 2021
I went into last weekend all prepped to write two articles this week. The first was going to be a "quickie" idea on Enlab getting a bump; I was super excited about that one because it had the same activist (Alta Fox) from another quickie idea, CLCT, and I had a lot of familiarity with […]
