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Year: 2021

Some things and ideas: February 2021

Posted On February 26, 2021
Some random thoughts on articles that caught my attention in the last month. Note that I try to write notes on articles immediately after reading them, so there can be a little overlap in themes if an article grabs my attention early in the month and is similar to an article that I like later […]

Yet Another $PSTH deep dive, part 2: scenario analysis and some sample trade

Posted On February 24, 2021
This is the fourth (and hopefully final!) piece I'm writing on PSTH. It should be read in conjunction with yesterday's "framing the opportunity" piece; however, my two prior posts (December's curios case of PSTH options and early Feb's implied vol / SPACsanity) are worth revisiting as well. Why am I spending so much time and […]

Yet Another $PSTH deep dive, part 1: framing the opportunity

Posted On February 22, 2021
I wanted to build out the PSTH thesis laid out in my two public posts a little further (ok, a lot further), because I think the risk/reward on the PSTH options is absolutely outrageous. My bottom line is nothing has changed from my two initial posts; I’m hugely bullish on the set up. In fact, […]

Quickie idea: $CKH bumpitrage

Posted On February 17, 2021
This post is another in a series I do on an irregular basis. A “quickie” idea is an investment specific idea that I’ve been mulling over and find interesting, but haven’t dove fully into yet. The hope is to provide the jumping off point for a discussion of an idea I find extremely interesting right now, as […]

Big Three Cable: still too cheap $ATUS $CHTR $CMCSA $CABO

Posted On February 17, 2021
Long time readers know that I've been a cable bull for.... well, a long time. Charter is the headliner here, as it's probably the company I've written the most about on this site, but I've touched on basically every publicly traded cable company at some point in this site's history. The thesis has always been […]

Feb. 2021 premium update (paywall)

Posted On February 16, 2021
Hi subs, Before we get to the updates- first, thank you so much for subscribing to the premium site! Second, a quick housekeeping. This month’s housekeeping has three parts: I mentioned it in my 2021 vision, but my goal for the premium site is simple: 2 posts/month (24 posts a year). One of the monthly posts […]

$PSTH, $PSHZF, and implied vol: another look at SPACsanity

Posted On February 10, 2021
This week, one company has been overwhelmingly dominating my thoughts. Actually, I use the term company, but it's really just a cash shell. That company / cash shell? Pershing Square Tontine (PSTH; disclosure: long, and this article will discuss options, which are extremely risky so I will remind you that nothing on here is investing […]

Notes from the podcast cutting room floor

Posted On February 9, 2021
I taped an episode of the Business Brew last night (it was something of a "home and home" podcast, as Bill had come on YAVP a few months ago). Bill told me it will be released in a few weeks, and I'll be sure to link to it when it comes out. Whenever I make […]

A Lucid look at the SPAC-craziness: $CCIV deep dive

Posted On February 8, 2021
I have spent a lot of my time this year looking and thinking about SPACs. I think there's clearly a SPAC bubble going on right now, and one of my predictions for 2021 is that the bubble will break towards the back half of the year as the pure number of SPACs outstanding overwhelms the […]

Premium Post: Buying the picks and shovels to the SPAC goldmine

Posted On February 4, 2021
I’ll admit it: I’ve been more than a little obsessed with SPACs recently. Fully half of my predictions for 2021 centered on SPACs, and my January 2021 links and ideas included a “SPACs SPACs SPACs” section. Heck, it’s possible I’m more obsessed with SPACs than cruise lines. But there’s a reason for that SPAC obsession: […]
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