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Category: Investment Theses (premium)

Premium Post: Backing some litigation

Posted On November 18, 2020
The most dangerous words in investing are “this time is different”. For years, one company has been something of the widow-maker trade for smaller event driven investors…. But I think this time is different.

Premium post: updates on $IAC and $GTXMQ

Posted On October 29, 2020
Updates on two of my favorite ideas to end the month! IAC and GTX (disclosure: in bankruptcy, buyer beware)

Premium post: Shopping for value

Posted On October 12, 2020
COVID has introduced an unbelievable step change in retailing. 10 years of “offline to online” sales share shift happened overnight. The results can be seen in the stock market: anything exposed to physical retail has been slaughtered, while online retailers have soared. I suspect there’s opportunity in that divergence. Once things normalize (i.e. we have […]

Premium Post: Can I offer you a combo special sit / asset play / compounder?

Posted On September 1, 2020
There are a lot of different types of investing that can work. I tend to gravitate more towards asset plays (this company owns $100 worth of assets and trades for $50). Some people like compounders more (companies they think can grow their net worth by 15%+ annually for decades, so even if they pay a […]

Premium Post: August monthly updates

Posted On August 25, 2020
Hi subs, Given almost every stock I’ve written about has reported earnings in the past few weeks, this month’s update post will focus on earnings updates. So tons of stuff to talk about! But, first, thank you so much for subscribing to the premium site! Second, a quick housekeeping. This month’s housekeeping has two parts: […]

Premium Post: Buying some insurance

Posted On August 3, 2020
This insurance company could easily be worth double today's share price.

Premium Post: Wondering on when....

Posted On July 23, 2020
Probably not a sale candidate (yet), but a double or more if and when it happens. I’ve been debating writing this company up for the premium site for a while. On a risk/reward basis, this company is my favorite idea: it’s in a sector I know and love, it’s a huge beneficiary of COVID / work from home, and I think the stock is screamingly cheap. However, the company is rather levered, smaller, and has been written up elsewhere a few times, so I’ve been hesitant to put them on the premium blog. However, recent events have changed that: an unlikely potential catalyst has emerged, and if it comes to pass shares could easily more than double in a very short time frame. Given that, I felt it would be a disservice not to write them up. Plus, I’ve written so many ideas this month I figured you wouldn’t hold it against me if I added one more that had already been written a bit elsewhere!

Premium Post: A more worthy play on Nikola's craziness

Posted On July 6, 2020
NKLA is a speculative bubble, but here's a way to play the bubble for free.

Premium Post: This stone cold steal of a deal should result in some capital gains....

Posted On July 1, 2020
In hindsight, I’m not sure we’ll ever see a weirder period for M&A than February 2020. Companies were getting bought for big numbers, only to turn out to be worthless a few months later.
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