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Category: A-M

New Year Idea #1: Dell VMW Tracker $DVMT

Posted On December 26, 2017
In general, I’ve tried to use this blog to focus on deeper dive / in depth looks at companies and situations. But, as my Christmas present to you, this week I’m going to present (pun intended) four of my favorite special situations in a bit of a shallower manner; instead of a full deep dive, […]

AMC is beating analyst estimates and taking names $AMC

Posted On November 7, 2017
I've written several times about what a mammoth bagholder I am in AMC Entertainment (AMC; disclosure: sadly long). Sure, the box office has been awful this year, but much of the company’s problems have been self-inflicted. They did three mammoth acquisitions within a year, their big U.S. acquisition (Carmike) has been a disaster, and with […]

Matching with IAC $IAC $MTCH

Posted On October 12, 2017
IAC Interactive (IAC; disclosure: long) represents the opportunity to invest in a company trading for roughly the same price of its publicly traded equity stakes despite the presence of world class capital allocators with a proven history of realizing shareholder value at the opportune time, hundreds of millions in net cash on their balance sheet, […]

Cord cutting and other cable risks $CHTR

Posted On October 5, 2017
An increasingly long time ago, I was an analyst for a consulting firm. In ~2012, we were working with one of the big cable companies and I was on a call discussing some work I was doing modeling their finances going forward using different assumptions for cord cutting (things like what if 3% of customers […]

Still bullish on Charter $CHTR

Posted On October 2, 2017
I’ve previously published some bullish thoughts on Charter (disclosure: net long through the Liberty complex), but I wanted to publish some random updated thoughts here (to tip my hand, I plan on publishing a Liberty Ventures (LVNTA, disclosure: long) update in the wake of the GCI proxy getting filed and wanted to have updated thoughts […]

Conversation on $MSG

Posted On August 24, 2017
I went on Hedgeye to discuss our investment in MSG (disclosure: long). The video is ~17 minutes long; I have a feeling you'll like it if you follow this blog.

Do insiders think $DFRG sell-off is a rare opportunity?

Posted On August 7, 2017
It’s pretty rare these days to find a U.S. stock that simply no one has heard of or taken a look at. When I stumble on a stock, the first thing I do is search my email to see if I’ve emailed anyone about it and then check VIC and Sumzero to see if it’s […]

$AMC : That escalated quickly

Posted On August 2, 2017
Well, that escalated quickly. I mentioned AMC (disclosure: long, unfortunately) on the blog ~a month ago. Last night, the company provided preliminary Q2’17 and FY17 guidance that could only be described as disastrous. The stock has certainly responded today, down ~25%, and the rest of the movie theater sector is performing much better (NCMI down […]

More questions at FranklinCovey $FC

Posted On July 27, 2017
Bill Ackman coined (or perhaps stole, IDK) the “return-on-invested-brain-damage” calculation. His basic thought is to figure out what the potential return from an investment is and weigh it against the effort and complexity required to unlock that value. If it’s a super complex and difficult situation with limited return, pass. If it’s massively difficult but […]

Brave deeper into the Liberty complex $BATRA

Posted On July 13, 2017
I’ve got a few other companies I wanted to write about, but given their shareholder webcast is early next week, my last post was on LVNTA (which I am very long), a tweet on them drew a nice response, and I am trying to convince Greg Maffei to let me race the Freeze at the […]
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