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Category: Uncategorized

The Yet Another Value "Empire" in 2021: The Blog and Premium Site

Posted On January 7, 2021
Earlier this week, I posted my "state of the markets" for 2021. The summary was that, while I see several pockets of excess / exuberance, I see plenty of dislocations and opportunities. Towards the end of the post, I mentioned that I wanted to spend some time navel-gazing about how I wanted to evolve the Yet […]

The Yet Another Value "Empire" in 2021: The podcast

Posted On January 5, 2021
Yesterday, I posted my "state of the markets" for 2021. The summary was that, while I see several pockets of excess / exuberance, I see plenty of dislocations and opportunities. Towards the end of the post, I mentioned that I wanted to spend some time navel-gazing about how I wanted to evolve the Yet Another […]

My State of The Markets 2021: Speculative Excess and Opportunity Everywhere

Posted On January 4, 2021
In 2000, the tech bubble collapsed. The next 2.5 years were a disaster for stocks in general; the S&P 500 shed about half its value and the Nasdaq dropped even more. But it was a super fertile time for value investors; sectors that had been left for dead saw huge increases as speculative money dried […]

Deceit, parody, or something else? $BMYRT's strange twitter account

Posted On December 30, 2020
I've spent a lot of time on BMY's CVR (BMY-R or BMYRT) over the past few years. On top of endlessly disclosing that CVRs are insanely risky and nothing on this blog or anything else I do is ever investing advice (a disclosure I will reiterate here, as well as noting nothing on here is […]

Ten Predictions for 2021, Part 2: Non-SPAC Edition

Posted On December 30, 2020
This is part 2 of my predictions for 2021. Part 2 centers on my non-SPAC predictions; you can find part 1, which focused on SPACs, here. Cable One (CABO) massively underperforms its cable peers Cruise stocks have a rough 2021 Free Radical media companies finally start to consolidate All the major movie theaters file for […]

Ten Predictions for 2021, Part 1: SPAC Edition

Posted On December 29, 2020
2020, on the whole, has been miserable. I suspect 2021 will be much brighter as the vaccine rolls out and the world normalizes. So I've been thinking a lot about 2021, and I wanted to put out some predictions for the year. But I've also been a little obsessed with two things recently: the SPAC […]

Peloton: Fitbit 2.0, or Netflix 2.0? $PTON

Posted On December 28, 2020
I love exercising. I do it basically every day (well, once a week I'll generally take a White Claw inspired day off). I used to do it two times a day, and I'd still like to if I could, but as I've gotten older time demands have generally precluded two work outs a day. Still, […]

History Rhymes: $FB attacks $MTCH / $ANGI

Posted On December 16, 2020
This morning, ANGI stock fell ~5% on a news story that Facebook was plotting a rival service. If you just thought about that announcement in a vacuum, ANGI's stock going down would make sense. In fact, you might even find a drop of only 5% a little puzzling. Facebook is probably the most powerful corporation […]

The curious case of $PSTH's options

Posted On December 4, 2020
The write up below is long and a little winding. So I'm going to break it up into five "chapters": A disclosure Define a "DVMT" (for option purposes) A shorter version of the thesis A request Finally, the full write up. "Chapter" 1: Disclosure: We are long PSTH and short PSTH puts. Nothing on here […]

Multiplan, Part 2: Debunking the short thesis $MPLN

Posted On December 3, 2020
This is the second part in a series on Multiplan (MPLN, disclosure: long). Part one (which you can find here) talked about the potential for a short squeeze in Multiplan. Today's post is going to dive into the weakness I see in the short thesis. To start, you can find Muddy Water's (MW) full short […]
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