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Category: Uncategorized

Discovering value in the wake of Archegos $DISCK

Posted On April 1, 2021
We're living in strange times. There's no doubt about that. 18 months ago, who would have believed that March Madness would be cancelled, or we'd go an entire year without fans at concerts / sports, or that the capital would be stormed? I'd guess no one. And our financial markets seem to have responded to […]

What the fudge is happening to legacy media stocks? $VIAC $DISCA $NFLX $T

Posted On March 15, 2021
Something weird is happening in media stocks. Legacy cable channel / media stocks have seen their stocks go on an absolute tear so far this year, while streaming "winners" have been left behind. Year to date, AMC Networks, ViacomCBS, and Discovery have all more than doubled, while DIS is up slightly and NFLX is actually […]

Yet Another $PSTH deep dive, part 2: scenario analysis and some sample trade

Posted On February 24, 2021
This is the fourth (and hopefully final!) piece I'm writing on PSTH. It should be read in conjunction with yesterday's "framing the opportunity" piece; however, my two prior posts (December's curios case of PSTH options and early Feb's implied vol / SPACsanity) are worth revisiting as well. Why am I spending so much time and […]

$PSTH, $PSHZF, and implied vol: another look at SPACsanity

Posted On February 10, 2021
This week, one company has been overwhelmingly dominating my thoughts. Actually, I use the term company, but it's really just a cash shell. That company / cash shell? Pershing Square Tontine (PSTH; disclosure: long, and this article will discuss options, which are extremely risky so I will remind you that nothing on here is investing […]

Notes from the podcast cutting room floor

Posted On February 9, 2021
I taped an episode of the Business Brew last night (it was something of a "home and home" podcast, as Bill had come on YAVP a few months ago). Bill told me it will be released in a few weeks, and I'll be sure to link to it when it comes out. Whenever I make […]

The Yet Another Value "Empire" in 2021: The Blog and Premium Site

Posted On January 7, 2021
Earlier this week, I posted my "state of the markets" for 2021. The summary was that, while I see several pockets of excess / exuberance, I see plenty of dislocations and opportunities. Towards the end of the post, I mentioned that I wanted to spend some time navel-gazing about how I wanted to evolve the Yet […]

The Yet Another Value "Empire" in 2021: The podcast

Posted On January 5, 2021
Yesterday, I posted my "state of the markets" for 2021. The summary was that, while I see several pockets of excess / exuberance, I see plenty of dislocations and opportunities. Towards the end of the post, I mentioned that I wanted to spend some time navel-gazing about how I wanted to evolve the Yet Another […]

My State of The Markets 2021: Speculative Excess and Opportunity Everywhere

Posted On January 4, 2021
In 2000, the tech bubble collapsed. The next 2.5 years were a disaster for stocks in general; the S&P 500 shed about half its value and the Nasdaq dropped even more. But it was a super fertile time for value investors; sectors that had been left for dead saw huge increases as speculative money dried […]

Deceit, parody, or something else? $BMYRT's strange twitter account

Posted On December 30, 2020
I've spent a lot of time on BMY's CVR (BMY-R or BMYRT) over the past few years. On top of endlessly disclosing that CVRs are insanely risky and nothing on this blog or anything else I do is ever investing advice (a disclosure I will reiterate here, as well as noting nothing on here is […]

Ten Predictions for 2021, Part 2: Non-SPAC Edition

Posted On December 30, 2020
This is part 2 of my predictions for 2021. Part 2 centers on my non-SPAC predictions; you can find part 1, which focused on SPACs, here. Cable One (CABO) massively underperforms its cable peers Cruise stocks have a rough 2021 Free Radical media companies finally start to consolidate All the major movie theaters file for […]
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